NORTH7 Terminal — Intelligence Track Record
OUR PREDICTIONS.
Public. Verifiable.
Active since June 2026
NORTH7 Terminal generates calibrated probabilities for world events based on OSINT feeds. Every prediction is concrete and falsifiable — after the time horizon expires, it is verified whether the event occurred. Results are publicly documented here.
Scoring: A prediction above 50% is considered “expected” — if it occurs, it is CORRECT, if not, WRONG. Below 50% means “unlikely” — if the event does not occur, the assessment was CORRECT. Like a weather forecast: “20% rain” and no rain = good prediction.
Resolved Predictions
USA and Iran announce ceasefire agreement or formal peace negotiations within 14 days
Confirmed: Iran-USA agreement signed on June 18, 2026.
Geopolitics
Middle East
Significant
US-Iran agreement on Strait of Hormuz formally signed and first sanctions relief takes effect within 30 days
Confirmed: Iran-USA agreement signed on June 18, 2026.
Geopolitics
Iran / Persian Gulf
Significant
Iran deal ratified and Hormuz blockade lifted within 14 days
Confirmed: Iran-USA agreement signed on June 18, 2026.
Geopolitics
Iran / Middle East
Significant
Iran-USA agreement signed or announced within 90 days
Confirmed: Iran-USA agreement signed on June 18, 2026 — after just 6 days.
Geopolitics
Iran-USA / Persian Gulf
Significant
Iran de-escalation leads to partial sanctions relief agreement; Strait of Hormuz remains open for 90 days without new blockade
Confirmed: Iran-USA agreement signed on June 18, 2026.
Geopolitics
Iran / Middle East
Significant
Energy sector trend reversal due to Iran de-escalation lowers oil prices; inflation in EA/USA drops by 0.3–0.5 percentage points by Q3 2026
Confirmed: Iran-USA agreement signed on June 18, 2026.
Economics
Eurozone / USA
Moderate
Federal Reserve holds interest rate steady at 4.25–4.50% at FOMC meeting on June 18, 2026
Confirmed: The Federal Reserve held the rate steady at 4.25–4.50% on June 18, 2026 as expected.
Economics
USA
Minor
Swiss referendum on June 14, 2026 results in ‘NO’ vote (rejection of immigration initiative)
Confirmed: The Swiss referendum was rejected with approximately 63% voting against.
Politics
Switzerland
Minor
WTI crude oil exceeds $92/bbl within 7 days due to Iran-Israel escalation
Did not occur: WTI stayed below $90/bbl, peaking at approximately $87/bbl in this period.
Supply Chains
Middle East / Oil Markets
Significant
Israel launches airstrike on Iranian air defense within 30 days
Did not occur: Iran-USA agreement was reached, escalation did not materialize.
Geopolitics
Israel-Iran
Significant
South Korea protests for Yoon removal lead to mass demonstrations (>100k) within 14 days
Did not occur: Largest reported demonstration approx. 8,000 participants (14.06.2026, Songpa/Seoul) — well below the 100k threshold.
Politics
South Korea
Moderate
Methodology
Each prediction is automatically generated from OSINT feeds and assigned a calibrated probability. After the time horizon expires, it is verified whether the event occurred. Results are never retroactively altered.
The goal is not “always right” but calibrated forecasts: An event with 60% probability should occur in roughly 6 out of 10 cases. System quality is measured by calibration, not perfect accuracy.
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Notice: This track record shows exclusively resolved, publicly verifiable predictions. Detailed reasoning, operational indicators and militarily sensitive analyses are not published for security reasons. Currently … additional assessments are pending, whose results will be added here upon expiration.
The predictions shown here serve transparency and scientific documentation. They do not constitute investment, security or political advice.